Wednesday, April 25, 2007

Brian has a bet!

Check it out here. He's not got such a good deal as I did, that's for sure. But a set of high-low bets at evens centred on 0.15C/decade, and 2:1 bets centred on 0.1C/decade (with large volcanoes voiding the bets) seems sound enough to me. Making it a series of bets, with the stakes ramping up over time, is a nice way to build up trust and reduce risk.

Well done to both Brian and his opponent David for negotiating through to a satisfactory conclusion.

1 comment:

Brian said...

You're right, your bet was a much better deal. Maybe this is a tiny indication of greater acceptance of global warming?