Check it out here. He's not got such a good deal as I did, that's for sure. But a set of high-low bets at evens centred on 0.15C/decade, and 2:1 bets centred on 0.1C/decade (with large volcanoes voiding the bets) seems sound enough to me. Making it a series of bets, with the stakes ramping up over time, is a nice way to build up trust and reduce risk.
Well done to both Brian and his opponent David for negotiating through to a satisfactory conclusion.
Well done to both Brian and his opponent David for negotiating through to a satisfactory conclusion.
1 comment:
You're right, your bet was a much better deal. Maybe this is a tiny indication of greater acceptance of global warming?
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