James' Empty Blog

I haven't had time to examine this new research in great detail but it looks pretty good to me (maybe one or two minor caveats). They ...

Way back in the mists of time, we did a little bit of work on "emergent constraints". This is a slightly hackneyed term referring...

So, this old chestnut seems to keep on coming back.... Back in 2002, Gregory et al proposed that we could generate “ An observationally...

Timely given events all over the place , this new paper by Mann et al has just appeared.  It's a well-aimed jab at the detection and ...

The future of climate science Posted: 24 Sep 2014 09:08 AM PDT I recently had the pleasure of a trip to Brussels, courtesy of this w...

A follow-up to the previous probability post . Perhaps this will provide a clearer demonstration of the limitations of Nic's method...

Or, why Nic Lewis is wrong. Long time no post, but I've been thinking recently about climate sensitivity (about which more soon) an...

Three papers have just appeared in WIREs Climate Change ( here , here and here ) discussing the role of the null hypothesis in climate scie...

A lot of bloggable papers have suddenly appeared, so I will work through them over the next few days. First, a quick comment about this inte...

Several people have email about this article . I don't have anything particularly novel or interesting to say, so I'll just repeat ...

Apparently global warming is statistically significant again. But we all know that the difference between "significant" and not s...

So Judith is going on about probability and uncertainty again , this time on the back of our "new" paper (which as you can see fr...

A new journal has sprung up recently, I'm not entirely sure why or how, but it seems to be open access for now (not indefinitely) and ha...

Some interesting comments on the subject to be found here: What's the difference between Bayesian and classical statistics - Statistical...

Quite a coincidence. On the very day after I got the email indicating acceptance of this paper , Myles Allen has a (co-authored) manuscript ...

As I hinted at in a previous post, I've some news regarding the uniform prior stuff. I briefly mentioned a manuscript some time ago, w...

...or fill up the bin with rejected manuscripts. I wasn't going to bother blogging this , as there is really not that much to be said th...

There was I, minding my own business as usual, when I chanced upon the Talk page for Confidence interval - Wikipedia . There's some odd ...

Via John Fleck , I see that Marty Weitzman's manuscript is getting more air-time . It has changed a lot since I previously wrote about ...

I read this amusing article in NS while travelling recently, and it reminded me that I'd been meaning to blog about the story for some ...