James' Empty Blog

If I have seen further than others, it is by treading on the toes of giants

Tuesday, March 23, 2021

History in the (re)making?

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One year on and there's been a slew of articles revisiting the events of the past year. I was going to ask what has prompted this little...
2 comments:
Monday, March 01, 2021

BlueSkiesResearch.org.uk: Escape velocity

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There is currently lot of debate on how and when we lift restrictions, and the risks of this. There are several unknowns that may affect th...
Tuesday, January 19, 2021

BlueSkiesResearch.org.uk: So near and yet not quite…

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There’s been quite an amazing turnaround since my last blog post . At the time I wrote that, the Govt was insisting that schools would open ...
3 comments:
Thursday, January 07, 2021

BlueSkiesResearch.org.uk: Not even half-way there

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NB: below calculation was made and published on Monday 4th, when schools had just been opened and before the latest lockdown was announced,...
Tuesday, December 22, 2020

The new variant

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The summary is, yes it's real, yes it's serious, and the early signs are that it could be very difficult to maintain any semblance o...
2 comments:

BlueSkiesResearch.org.uk: Science breakthrough of the year (runner-up)

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Being only a small and insignificant organisation, we would like to take this rare opportunity to blow our own trumpets. Blue Skie...
Monday, November 09, 2020

BlueSkiesResearch.org.uk: Modelling the ONS COVID data

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I’ve grumbled for a while about the ONS analyses of their infection survey pilot (pilot? isn’t it a full-blown survey yet?) without doing a...
3 comments:
Tuesday, September 15, 2020

SAGE versus reality

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Something I've been meaning to do for a while is look at how well the SAGE estimates of the growth rate of the epidemic have matched up ...
3 comments:
Saturday, September 12, 2020

Weekly RRRRRRReport

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A lot of different estimates of the growth rate (R) of the epidemic have come out in the last couple of days, so here's a summary of whi...
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