James' Empty Blog

So, the fortnightly chunks in the last post were doing ok, but it’s still a bit clunky. I quickly found that the MCMC method I was using co...

However you "solve" the problem, the pandemic was always going to be very expensive. Government mandated lockdowns might be framed...

The 2 and now 3-segment piecewise constant approach seems to have worked fairly well but is a bit limited. I’m not really convinced that ke...

I'm sure many of you spend your mornings glued to Parliament TV but for anyone who missed it, there was a House of Lords Science and Te...

I feel like I should be blogging about something related to the ongoing epidemic, but I can't bring myself to do it. The utterly vacuou...

Well.. that was a very different EGU! We were supposed to be in Vienna, but that was all cancelled a while back of course. I might have ...

There I was, thinking I was typing into the void...and it turns out the comment notification had got turned off so I hadn't seen them. ...

Sir Lawrence Freedman (member of the Chilcott Inquiry ) has written a review of the UK Govt's response to the coronavirus outbreak whic...

Germany locked down at about the same time as the UK. Actually probably a couple of days earlier, according to Wikipedia and Flaxman et al ...

A while ago, I mentioned that the cost of delaying lockdown by a week was to increase illness and death by a factor of 5, based on the doub...